Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.397022 0.509460 0.631067 0.770686 0.925031 1.089101 1.275425
2025-09-28 0.255353 0.408251 0.590325 0.814981 1.077927 1.370377 1.715171
2025-10-05 0.192406 0.364849 0.584779 0.868695 1.212032 1.603195 2.073141
2025-10-12 0.143025 0.325431 0.574425 0.909156 1.325189 1.808399 2.397457
2025-10-19 0.115788 0.309013 0.587777 0.974031 1.463502 2.039542 2.748609
2025-10-26 0.090284 0.288138 0.590559 1.022025 1.578690 2.241616 3.064652
2025-11-02 0.061642 0.252778 0.567384 1.031912 1.643422 2.381134 3.305446
2025-11-09 0.029492 0.194808 0.501956 0.978536 1.623359 2.414592 3.417710
2025-11-16 0.009090 0.142547 0.435357 0.916452 1.586805 2.423874 3.497703
2025-11-23 0.001828 0.113089 0.400784 0.896121 1.601969 2.494758 3.649819
2025-11-30 0.000094 0.098398 0.390234 0.909807 1.661540 2.620475 3.867975
2025-12-07 NaN 0.079706 0.367766 0.902939 1.691654 2.707928 4.038566
2025-12-14 NaN 0.058729 0.336235 0.881616 1.703956 2.776468 4.191501
2025-12-21 NaN 0.055868 0.346248 0.928116 1.812100 2.969522 4.500301
2025-12-28 NaN 0.055885 0.363154 0.985850 1.935932 3.182651 4.833795
2026-01-04 NaN 0.052856 0.371464 1.028984 2.039038 3.369063 5.134316
2026-01-11 NaN 0.055448 0.395076 1.098171 2.179483 3.604175 5.495757
2026-01-18 NaN 0.054316 0.408093 1.149246 2.294057 3.805739 5.815538
2026-01-25 NaN 0.045649 0.397890 1.159762 2.350032 3.930720 6.039590
2026-02-01 NaN 0.027606 0.350948 1.102964 2.306741 3.924486 6.098332
2026-02-08 NaN 0.013271 0.301778 1.036786 2.246455 3.893586 6.124194
2026-02-15 NaN 0.007182 0.278142 1.015087 2.250272 3.946274 6.254306
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005027 0.273624 1.029696 2.308507 4.071612 6.476648